Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.443607 0.486735 0.532935 0.586225 0.646145 0.711603 0.788748
2025-11-16 0.375673 0.436148 0.505561 0.591646 0.696250 0.820141 0.979326
2025-11-23 0.331481 0.399386 0.480984 0.587281 0.723592 0.894579 1.128576
2025-11-30 0.302938 0.375952 0.466983 0.590426 0.755962 0.973938 1.288928
2025-12-07 0.276251 0.351182 0.447467 0.582458 0.770418 1.028402 1.419280
2025-12-14 0.254578 0.330440 0.430512 0.574988 0.783006 1.079403 1.548400
2025-12-21 0.232178 0.306627 0.407011 0.555565 0.775644 1.099505 1.631781
2025-12-28 0.222248 0.298885 0.404632 0.565284 0.810686 1.184667 1.825517
2026-01-04 0.212719 0.290828 0.400905 0.572234 0.841506 1.265613 2.021915
2026-01-11 0.203258 0.282093 0.395351 0.575601 0.866492 1.339034 2.214284
2026-01-18 0.194401 0.273568 0.389354 0.577507 0.888827 1.409676 2.410369
2026-01-25 0.187242 0.267045 0.385798 0.582735 0.916689 1.491998 2.638784
2026-02-01 0.176357 0.254385 0.372216 0.571047 0.915415 1.523942 2.776850
2026-02-08 0.170228 0.248671 0.369099 0.576333 0.943988 1.612896 3.042885
2026-02-15 0.162557 0.240075 0.360792 0.572105 0.954993 1.669858 3.250513
2026-02-22 0.157026 0.234517 0.356973 0.575151 0.979261 1.754509 3.531224
2026-03-01 0.149788 0.225817 0.347453 0.567432 0.982575 1.797769 3.725096
2026-03-08 0.143181 0.217797 0.338588 0.560196 0.986046 1.841465 3.926806
2026-03-15 0.134917 0.206663 0.323884 0.541377 0.965327 1.832424 3.998799
2026-03-22 0.132221 0.204626 0.324544 0.550795 1.001312 1.948081 4.403497
2026-03-29 0.129214 0.201902 0.323831 0.557528 1.032367 2.056472 4.810245
2026-04-05 0.125810 0.198328 0.321411 0.560790 1.056435 2.151834 5.200543
2026-04-12 0.122379 0.194540 0.318389 0.562637 1.077594 2.242860 5.597132